Anytime-valid detection of LLM weight exfiltration

A compromised LLM inference server can leak model weights by encoding payload bits in otherwise plausible token choices. A replay of the same prompt in a trusted server can expose such deviations, but benign numerical nondeterminism also causes token mismatches. Patient attackers can therefore hide within normal variation unless evidence is combined across responses. We introduce a prompt-level e-process that calibrates whole-response mismatch events on trusted benign traffic and accumulates evidence sequentially while, under a calibration-transfer assumption, controlling the probability of any false alarm over an unbounded monitoring horizon. We evaluate it on four models against a seed-blind attack and a stronger seed-aware attack that hides payload bits only in near-ties to remain stealthy, analyzing the channel capacity vs detectability trade-off. Compared with a hard per-token alarm, the e-process combines weak evidence across responses while providing explicit anytime false-alarm control.

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Accepted for oral presentation at the NeurIPS 2026 workshop E-Values: From Statistics to ML (Paris, December 13 2026)